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14.11.21 - 20:45 CET
Sweden were counting on a draw in Seville in their final group match to advance directly to the World Cup, but Thursday's penultimate round shuffled the cards. Sweden collapsed completely unexpectedly in Tbilisi. Georgia, who had not won points in their previous three home games, inflicted a 2-0 defeat on the favourites. Spain took advantage of their mistake and replaced them at the top of the group with a 1-0 win in Greece. Now all Spain need is a draw and Sweden have to play to win. However, they don't have what it takes to put Spain under pressure. Greece also needed a win on Thursday, but Spain, as only they can do, didn't lend the ball much (possession 69:31). A similar scenario can be expected in Sunday's match, which will be the fifth mutual match in two years. The last one in September was a surprise 2-1 home win for Sweden, while the previous one at the EURO ended goalless, although Spain created a lot of pressure and didn't score a penalty kick. Now they won't mind a draw, even one goal can be enough to win.
My prediction: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 (bet365)
Sweden were counting on a draw in Seville in their final group match to advance directly to the World Cup, but Thursday's penultimate round shuffled the cards. Sweden collapsed completely unexpectedly in Tbilisi. Georgia, who had not won points in their previous three home games, inflicted a 2-0 defeat on the favourites. Spain took advantage of their mistake and replaced them at the top of the group with a 1-0 win in Greece. Now all Spain need is a draw and Sweden have to play to win. However, they don't have what it takes to put Spain under pressure. Greece also needed a win on Thursday, but Spain, as only they can do, didn't lend the ball much (possession 69:31). A similar scenario can be expected in Sunday's match, which will be the fifth mutual match in two years. The last one in September was a surprise 2-1 home win for Sweden, while the previous one at the EURO ended goalless, although Spain created a lot of pressure and didn't score a penalty kick. Now they won't mind a draw, even one goal can be enough to win.
My prediction: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 (bet365)
