Wales vs. Belgium

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16.11. 20:45 CET

Europe: World Cup Qualification

Wales are three points and two goals ahead of the Czech Republic in second place in Group E after Saturday's 5-1 win over Belarus. But with Czech Republic most likely to win by at least two goals at home against Estonia in their last match played in same time, Wales need to get at least a point against Belgium. And it's not impossible to draw a home with Belgium this time, quite the opposite. Belgium are sure to qualify for Qatar after their win over Estonia and will play in Wales at half strength and certainly not with the strongest possible line-up. Only a complete crazy person can assume Belgium's clear dominance in Wales - after all, most of its players belong to the key players of the top European clubs and they need to be ready for another league game this weekend.

Although Wales are assured of qualifying for the promotion even if they finish 3rd in the group, as they finished 17th in the UEFA Nations League, but if they finish second in the qualifying group, there is also a chance that they could be one of the six seeded teams playing their first promotion match at home, which is a big advantage.

Not that Belgium will lose (although it can happen), but if Czech Republic managed to get a draw at home with Belgium, I don't see any reason why Wales can't do the same, especially since Belgium doesn't really care about anything in this match.

My bet:
Draw @ 3.10 (bet365)
 
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Czech Republic can only finish second in the group if they beat Estonia at home and Wales lose to Belgium at home, which is definitely not to be counted on. The Red Devils have nothing to play for, yet they are missing a bunch of mainstays in the November qualifying window. Romelu Lukaku, Toby Alderweireld and Youri Tielemans missed Saturday's 3-1 win over Estonia, while Thibaut Courtois, Eden Hazard, Jason Denayer, Dennis Praet and Simon Mignolet were all withdrawn after the game. Coach Roberto Martínez announced at a press conference that the players of the upcoming generation, who will soon replace the current one, will get their chance.

Only Gareth Bale will start on the bench, but Wales have learned to play without their biggest star. In the current qualifiers, the home team has shown that it is further ahead than the Czech team and at least can won a point. Although Wales lost their first match in Belgium, they managed to score against the favourite (1:3) and won the previous two matches.

The home team tuned up for today's game with a five-goal cannonade into the Belarusian net, boosted by a sold-out stadium that will see goals on both sides of the field.

Prediction:
Both Teams to Score - Yes @ 1.80 (bet365)
 

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