Union Berlin - Slavia Prague

Giovanni

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09.12.21 - 21:00 CET

UEFA Conference League

Both teams will play a duel for the promotion to the spring phase, Union must win, Slavia only needs a point. The Czech club dominated the first match in mid-September (3:1), but this result cannot be overestimated, as the match was significantly affected by Berlin's sending off in the 40th minute of the game. In any case, the Bundesliga team is confident at home, having managed to beat a strong Leipzig 2-1 at the weekend, which can only have a positive impact on the team's mentality.

Slavia also won in the warm-up match, but the disappointing victory in Olomouc (1:0), also after a controversial Masopust situation, does not give much reason for optimism. Slavia still has huge problems with defensive players, the stoppers who are currently starting are enough for the league level. This can be seen also in the number of goals conceded, where in the ECL Slavia have already conceded 6 times, which is a big disproportion compared to the league. Slavia will build a speed line-up in Germany, the team will play mainly on counter-attacks, the home team will be on the ball. The Nigerian Awonyi, who has already scored nine times in the league, should trouble Slavia's defence, while the similarly fast forward Kacharab and co. are rarely seen in Czech league. Both stoppers (Kacharaba - Ousou) of the Prague club have certain limits in dynamics, so the club from Berlin will push through in the finishing. On the other hand, Slavia lacks a better goal scorer at international level, Kuchta's goals are more a matter of luck, which can't be relied on, and Slavia striker is also in a suspension this time.

In the last game against Feyenoord, Slavia scored both goals thanks to the opponent goalkeeper, but that will definitely not happen this time.

My bet:
Union Berlin @ 1.95 (bet365)
 
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Many bettors can rely on the first match, which Slavia won 3:1 at home. So it may seem incomprehensible at first look that I'm trying to play a handicap on Union. But I'll try to outline the second view. A lot has changed in the time since the two teams met. Especially on the side of Union Berlin, who were going through a reorganisation of their squad at the time. The changes that took place were fundamental and this was reflected in the Bundesliga. Berlin holds an ambitious sixth place and has become a very unpleasant opponent. Especially as a home team, Berlin can make a lot out of its position. They are a very fast team, I would say very physically strong. On the flanks, they have typologically fast players who take advantage of the overlap. Although the form of Slavia seems very good statistically, it is not entirely true. I have my own view on the performance of Slavia. The situation is not supported by the injury list, which is really big on the away side. In addition, another stable member (Kuchta) has dropped out of the starting line-up through yellow cards.The current Union would certainly dominate the Czech league and I think tonight will confirm it.

If Union plans to stay in the Conference, they need to win the game by three points. Slavia only needs a draw which puts them in a more comfortable situation. However, I can imagine that if the home team leads, the visitors will have to open the game up and push forward. However, this may be water on the mill for the home team, who have been benefiting mainly from good counter-attacks lately.

My bet:
Asian Handicap: Union Berlin -1.0 @ 2.37 (bet365)
 

Giovanni

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My bet:
Union Berlin @ 1.95 (bet365)
FT: Union Berlin 1:1 Slavia Prague

Union Berlin scorer: Max Kruse (64')
Slavia Prague scorer: Ivan Schranz (50')

Bet KO 🔴
 

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