Serie A: Venezia - Lazio

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22.12. 16:30 CET

In one of the last games of 2021, Venice will welcome Lazio and I'll take a bet on at least 3 goals in this game.

Lazio are the paper favourites, but their season is not going as expected, they are only 8th in the table. The advantage of this bet is that the visitors score a lot of goals (36 goals- 3rd best offense), but they also concede a lot of goals (33 goals- 5th worst defense). And especially on the opponents' pitches, Lazio is not doing well in the back- 9 games and up to 20 goals conceded, i.e. more than 2 goals per game. The disadvantage is the probable absence of Immobile, Lazio's top scorer, but even without him they can score goals, in the last match against Genoa, Lazio won 3:1 and Immobile didn't play. In the last 7 games, Lazio have reached the 3 goal mark 6 times.

Venice are not that productive up front, they only scored 17 goals, but 11 of them at home where they are very uncomfortable and I expect at least 1 goal and maybe more in the game against Lazio. Overall, Venice are unpleasant at home and they can score goals quite often. Juventus conceded a goal here, Verona 3 times, so also AS Rome and actually in every single home game, Venice have scored, except for the game against a strong Inter. Last time at home they beat second league Ternana 3-1 in the cup.

There's no point in bringing up mutual meetings, as the last match was back in 2002, Lazio won 4:2, but all indications are that it could be a goal scoring affair in the next mutual duel after almost 20 years.

My prediction: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 (bet365)
 

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