Serie A: Lazio - Udinese

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02.12.21 - 20:45 CET

Lazio Rome is used to winning at home, which they have been showing us for a couple of seasons now. Last season Lazio were 4th in the home table, with 13 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses in 19 games.

Let's get to today's game and Lazio Rome's current form. The home team has had some tough games in the league, facing Fiorentina at home (1-0), Atalanta away (2-2), Salarnitana at home (3-0), Juve at home (0-2) and finishing away to league-leading Napoli, losing 4-0. Lazio are on the heels of 2 losses and a 0:6 score, which will certainly not please their fans who expect goals and especially points from their team.

The home team is strong at home this year with 5 wins, 1 draw and the aforementioned loss to Juventus in 7 games. The score is 18:8. The players have a lot to give away to the fans and that's why I expect more goals in this game. A win can move Lazio from 9th place to 6th place. The table is starting to look pretty clear at the front, with a 6 point gap between 4th Atalanta and 5th AS Roma, so Lazio won't want to let Atalanta escape on 10 points.

Mutual home matches speak clearly in favour of the home team, if I take the mutual balance since 2012, there have been 10 matches where the home team won 8 times. A handicap bet in this case would work out 5 times!. Another thing is that Udinese beat Lazio 1:3 in their last match, where they played without fans. So Lazio really have something to give back to the visitors even with the fact that they want to get on a winning streak.

Now I'll pause for a moment with Udinese, 14th in the table with 15 points, their form is not great as they have played teams that are more in the middle of the table and they have got 5 points from 5 games, especially as far as their away games are concerned, from 6 games they have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses. They haven't played bad teams, so those results carry weight.

I believe Lazio will show strength in front of their fans, make up for the two bad games they have had and get back on a winning streak.

Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Lazio -1.0 @ 2.10 (bet365)
 
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Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Lazio -1.0 @ 2.10 (bet365)
FT: Lazio 4:4 Udinese

⚽ Lazio scorers: Ciro Immobile (34'), Pedro (51'), Sergej Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Francesco Acerbi (79')
⚽ Udinese scorers: Beto (17', 32'), Nahuel Molina (44'), Tolgay Arslan (90'+9')

57' Red Card! Patric (Lazio)
69' Red Card! Molina (Udinese)
90+10' Red Card! Walace (Udinese)

Prediction KO 🔴
 
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One of the craziest games of the season so far, but Lazio are dreadful defensively. In the first half they lost so many 50-50 duels and barely had the desire to go all in to win the ball. In the second half they improved and looked very good going forward, but again stupid mistakes like Patric getting sent off for no reason.
 

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