Sacramento Kings - Los Angeles Clippers

6 Jul 2021
23.12.21 - 04:10 CET


In this match, I think it's an interesting bet on less than 220.5 points, because:

1. Sacramento is missing players like Fox, Bagley and Mitchel, who are giving up a combined 39.1 points per game. Without those 3 players, Sacramento is averaging just 108 points per game over the last 3 games.

2. Clippers are averaging just 105.3 points per game this season and a weakened Sacramento could defend at a level close to that.

3. Clippers will miss Jackson, Morris and Hartenstein, which also increases the likelihood of lower scoring. In Clippers last game, in which George was already playing, they only scored 92 points, and that was against San Antonio, which doesn't have that good of a defense.

4. In the last match played at the beginning of December, only 203 points were scored and the absentees were definitely not as significant as in this match.

Considering the above, I think a weakened Sacramento could score around 105 points (which is how many Clippers score on average). If Clippers win by about 2 points, as the bookmakers predict, we could have a score about 105-107 and our bet of less than 220.5 could be successful with enough reserve.

My bet:
Number of points including overtime: Under 220.5 @ 1.74

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