Round 37 Lega Calcio

[Arance]

Hey now.

I know there are a few Serie A mugs in here.

For the last two rounds can I suggest we all just post our thoughts in the same thread? You can obviously just go post your own match preview if it means that much to you too. No problem.

In case anyone takes me up on the idea, here are the lines for the next 3 days of fixtures in Lega Calcio.



I used oddsportal for that because they are pretty much well-rounded and I have my settings to the best lines offered on any/all bookmakers and they have all of the big ones anyone would care about. The Pinny's, Bet365's Betfair's, William Hill's, Etc.

So, that could also affect the lines you might have at a local or whatever book you guys use. I don't know everyone here well enough to know who uses what books for what or how they bet because all of that shit is just personal preference or availability.

Anyway, I will post any tips I have for the next 3 days and if this goes all right I will do this for the final set of Fixtures set for May 22 (Round 38).

That cool? I guess I will know by the responses and um, I have followed Serie A since around 1983. You think you know this league and then there is my set of skills that go back 40 years so maybe can all just iron out the good stuff to be on and not just throw out shit to people who will actually follow us. I expect to be followed because I have about 22 seasons of Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Coppa Italia stats. Here, let me just share how fucking stupid I am about it.

I hosted the Italian Football Radio Show on Blogtalk for 6 seasons. I hosted my own show when I ran Get More Sports called the World Football Tour for 4 seasons. I wrote all of the previews at BetDSI for Serie A, EPL, Spain, Germany, MLS, and any outside tournaments like CL and Europa, Gold Cup, etc for 7 years. I handwrite out all of my shit still to this day as I have since the turn of the century. No... Watch for yourself my bookkeeping skills LOL

VID_20210413_132425.mp4

drive.google.com

NOW YOU KNOW THIS GUY! Yup, that is me and that is the book and you can feel free to find out more than you need to know about me now from my Youtube and all of that.

Anyway, I hope you like the vid, I hope you like my idea to share plays in this thread and if no one wants to jump in here I guess I'll have the thread to myself and I talked about myself entirely too much if that's the case LOL!! Ciao!

 

[Arance]

Obviously, the Empoli match with Salernitana is only big for Salernitana because Empoli is shit and will just be another Serie A club next campaign who might end up in B again soon themselves next season because they really do just stink!

On the other hand, we all know how Salernitana has caught fire and how they did it and who they have motivating them to get out of the reg zone.

The Fucking Over is 3!! I see 1.95 for 3 goals the fuck if I am paying any damn juice for that 2.5... NO SIR! 1.65? Oh, fucking stop that shit in this thread before I kill you... if you want to post that Over 2.5 at 1.65? Yes, go start your own thread and give that advice to people on your own.

I am putting this thread here TO TALK ABOUT THE RIGHT SHIT TO BE ON, and the value behind it. If you don't have an offer of 1.75 or better? You are wasting your time, my time, and everyone else's time talking betting tips to people. Listen I have a sports gambling guide book coming out this year and I am going to be showing everyone how to ACTUALLY Make money betting on sports and not fucking around listening to fucking morons talk about VALUE IN 1.50!!! FUCK YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Oh, if you post a 1.50 line in this thread? I will find your house and Oranges will be on your morning table ... all of a sudden... like out of nowhere... wait, where, what, how? LOL

Value people, make it worth the effort because real money bettors aren't looking around the internet for people who post 1.50. 130, 1.20 garbage!!! People want to get something for their hard-earned money and not get back 20 bucks for a $100 bet! Come on man!

Anyway

1st Tip for the 9 AM ET match here in New York is Empoli / Salernitana Over 3 @ 1.95

 

[Arance]

For me, I can see a semblance of value in a 1.85 line.

It really depends on the play and I will turn to those when I see a handicap I like and this is one of those cases.

Ude and Spezia and the Over 2.75 is at 1.85 where I have my money. I can handle that because even though that Over 3 with Salernitana and Empoli is 1.95, this Over 3 is 2.12 but I don't want to push that in case they get stuck on a 2 - 1 affair. The odds of them actually getting stuck on 2 - 1 aren't bad because this could certainly be more than that. I want 3 - 2 but I will take 2 - 1 to at least take something from the half-win.

Udinese / Spezia Over 2.75 @ 1.85

 

[Arance]

Pinnacle isn't even offering the Serie A Gand Salami today. They know that they can't set this 4-game line at 14 or something and expect us to care. I will get up early and see if they toss the salami up before the 9 AM match.

 

[Arance]

Hey, when was the last time you saw me do it? In Africa last week?

Yeah, we're doing it again...

Roma / Venezia Both Teams to Score 1st Half @ .... Wait for it!!

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4.30!

Worth the Wait? You BET it was!

 

[Arance]

And that other ugly game with two clubs playing for no reason.

Verona / Udinese Under 2.75 @ 1.95.

Those two are going to stand there and watch the clock run. They might serve lemonade at the center circle from the 25' to 35' and at the hour mark, they will have free burgers for the players with fries and cheese. The only match where players could GAIN WEIGHT during a game LoLoL

Yeah, I expect those two to give two shits about this match and that is why even if they do get the 3 goals at least it will only cost me a half-loss with the handicap

 

[Arance]

Oh, and btw... I am offering that Roma tip on my service site for 10 euros so you can thank me for posting it here for you for nothing. I know, so nice to you here! I rarely offer stuff on the premium side of my service because I just like to give out betting advice to people who follow me. I am pretty much 90% free picks anymore there so when I do decide to make a premium offer it makes it fun to see who wants to return any favours I might have done them by buying a pick from me once in a while.

People actually do that and it still shocks me when they do because everyone wants shit for nothing and being a tout kinda sucks LoL People kinda look at you differently but I have such a history, man! I like to give, I like to get. But that's just humanity!

 

[Lucas]

Empoli / Salernitana Over 3 @ 1.95

hey good start with Empoli scoring first!

I took in-play, 44' (corners 1-3)

Salernitana race to 9 corners @ 4,00

 

[Arance]

LMAO!!!!

36 combined shots... it's finally 1 - 1, my God!

 

[Arance]

Oh my God, the fucking Shnook missed a fucking PK, Jesus Christ!

 

[Paarai]

That's what you always want to see when you bet, I feel for you. hopefully he'll never kick a penalty for this again

 

[Arance]

Mother fucker is lucky I am not there. He'd still be hearing my ass screaming YOU SUCK YOU FUCKING PRICK!! LoL

 

[Paarai]

I understand you.

 

[Lucas]

I guess I'm another lucky mf @ 4.00 lol

 

[Arance]

And that's the difference between a push and a loss. Fucking stupid bastard!