Patronato - Rosario

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20.09. 23:00 CET

I choose a match in the Argentine top flight. Patronato and Rosario will face each other. I believe the points will stay at home.

Patronato is in thirteenth place. They have played nineteen games and have twenty-seven points and a score of 23:20.
Rosario is currently the nineteenth team in the league. They have also played nineteen games and have twenty-three points and a 15:19 score.

Patronato has six wins, three draws and only one loss on their home field so they are doing well at home.
Rosario has only one win, three draws and five losses in away games, so they are not doing well away from home.

Patronato hasn't lost once at home in their last six games, of which they have four wins and two draws. In addition, Patronato have not conceded once at home in their last three games and have managed to keep a clean sheet five times in these last six home games.

Rosario hasn't won four games in a row away. And in the long term they have not been doing well on the opponents' fields because in the last thirteen away games they have lost nine times, in the other three it was a draw and only one single win means that it is a big misery on its side.

Patronato is good at home against Rosario. In the last five mutual matches on Patronato's field, the home team has always won.

Pick: Patronato @ 2.38
 
Joined
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I don't watch Argentina that much, but I've noticed quite balanced performances and the table speaks clearly, 4 points difference between these teams and 9 places distance. Another fact is the home advantage and especially between these teams. Out of the 9 mutual matches, it is 4-1-4 and every time the home team won and 8 times at least 2 goals were scored. The visitors have conceded 2 or more goals 5 times out of 10 away games, and combined with mutual games, I see this as a good value bet. GL!

Prediction:
Patronato Win + Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.17
 

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