New York Knicks - Detroit Pistons

6 Jul 2021
22.12.21 - 01:40 CET


In this game, I think it's an interesting bet on less than 208.5 points, because:

1.New York will miss Barrett, Quickley and Toppin, among others. The question is whether Rose will play. In the last 4 games when most of these players didn't play, Knicks only scored 104 points per game. Season-long, New York has only 105.9 points per game and I think with the absences of several players, they should be closer to 104 points.

2. New York is averaging concede only 104.8 points per game in their last 5 games and should get a little less from a weak Detroit team that is missing Grant. Detroit is averaging only 100.4 points per game this season and they shouldn't score more in this game.

3. New York also has the 5th slowest pace of play in the entire league, which increases the likelihood of a low scoring game for us.

4. In the last game between the two teams, New York won 108:100, but no players were missing. With the current absences, fewer points would have been scored.

Given the above, I think the current odds at less than 208.5 points are of good enough value.

My bet:
Number of points including overtime: Under 208.5 @ 1.86

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