Napoli - Leicester

31 Aug 2021
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09.12.21 - 18:45 CET

In Group C, none of the 4 teams is certain to qualify. The closest to it is Leicester, who with 8 points is at the top of the group with an interesting score of 10:8, which is an average of 3.6 goals per game. Home side Napoli is in 3rd place, which guarantees participation in the best 16 of the European Conference League, and Napoli doesn't want to go there. Napoli also has an interesting score of 12:8, that's an average of 4 goals per game.

In 2 home games of Napoli (Legia 3:0, Sp. Moscow 2:3) we could see 8 goals. In 2 away games of Leicester (Sp. Moscow 4:3, Legia 0:1) we could also see 8 goals. In the league, Napoli is 17:5 after 8 games, that's an average of 2,8 goals per game. Leicester is 12:15 after 8 away games, that's an average of 3.4 goals per game. According to these stats we can see that both teams are falling above 2.5 goals per game.

Neither team is enjoying ideal form. The visitors have conceded 15 games in a row. Napoli have scored at least 1 goal in their last 45 games out of 46.

Napoli will rely on Zielinski (6+4), Mertens (6 goals), Lozano (3+3). And also on Ruiz (5+3), who is questionable. Leicester on their goal scorer Vardy (9+1), Patton Daka (6+2), Maddison (4+4) or Barnes (4+3).

The first match ended in a 2:2 draw, considering all the facts regarding the statistics, form, form, margin or importance of the match I see the 2,5+ goals at odds of 1,72 as a very good bet and I believe we will see those 3 goals.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 (bet365)


Staff member
4 Jul 2021
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Group C is wide open before the final matches, with only two points between first-placed Leicester and last-placed Legia, so the standings could easily flip. The winner of the group is likely to be decided under Vesuvius. The visitors will hold on to the lead if they win, while Napoli, in addition to a win of their own, need Sparta Moscow not to win in Warsaw against Legia. The first mutual duel in Leicester ended in a 2-2 draw, Napoli was saved by two goals from Osimhen, who is injured, as is striker Insigne. The absences are weighing on both teams ahead of tonight's rematch. Napoli will be missing midfielders Ruiz, Lobotka, Anguissou and stopper Koulibaly. Leicester, on the other hand, have problems with covid-19, with seven unnamed players plus three members of the management staff not flying to Napoli due to a positive test. Even so, we can expect an offensive match with goals on both sides of the field, with 20 goals (12:8) in Napoli's five games and only two less (10:8) in Leicester's.

I'm also picking at least three goals 🤝

Good luck 🍀

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