Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers

5 Jul 2021
20.12.21 - 00:00 CET


I think the over 218.5 points is an interesting bet in this game, because:

1. Memphis has had very good offensive performances this season. They are averaging 111.5 points per game. Recently, despite playing without Morant, it's been even better, as they are averaging 116.8 points per game in their last 5 games.

2. Portland is playing without McCollum, but again with Lillard and in the last 4 games with Lillard they have a decent average of 111.5 points per game.

3. Both teams have been playing at a relatively fast pace lately - of the last 5 games, Memphis has the 9th fastest pace of play and Portland has the 13th fastest pace of play in the entire league this season.

4. Defensively, Memphis is averaging 108.9 points and Portland 111.4 points per game - a combined 220.3, which suits our bet.

Portland doesn't have a good defense, so it's possible that Memphis shoots at least its average from last season - around 117 points. If Memphis wins against Portland by 5 points, as the bookmakers predict, we could have the score about 117:112 and our bet could be successful with the margin.

My bet:
Number of points including overtime: Over 218.5 @ 1.81

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