Lens - Lille

Giovanni

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04.01.22 - 21:00 CET

FRANCE: Coupe de France

Lens, who are ninth in the league table, play eighth-placed Lille in the French Cup.

Lens have three draws and two losses in their last five league games. In their last league game, they lost 1:2 to second-placed Nice. However, it was a very even match. On 4 December, they managed to draw at home against first-placed PSG, even outshooting their opponents 18:13 and playing more corners. So the team's form is better than the results would suggest, in my opinion. Lens will only be missing long term injured striker Wesley Said and midfielder Gael Kakuta, who last played on December 4, in this match. Otherwise, the team is at full strength.

Last season's champion Lille is currently eighth in the table. They have a good score of three wins and two draws in their last five league games. However, it should be added that they have played opponents from the second part of the table, namely the thirteenth, fifteenth and seventeenth teams. Lille have a large number of players who will not be available for this match. The team's attack is the most affected. The coach confirmed on Monday seven players infected with covid and did not mention who they are. However, according to sports newspaper L'Équipe, they are Jonathan David, Isaac Lihadji, Domagoj Bradaric and Xekay Andre. In addition, striker Weah Timothy is injured and Yilmaz Burak will not play due to cards. So, the coach has only one of the five strikers at his disposal and he has not scored a single goal in thirteen games.

Lens managed to win their last mutual match 1-0, with both teams coming out in full force. Lille will be missing four strikers and a couple of other players in today's game. I think the current form of both teams is very even, although Lille may seem like a clear favourite based on the results. However, Lens played a very good game against the first and second team of the league, and against a weakened Lille I will to play their win at good odds. I think they have more than 50% chance of winning today, so I see value in this odds.

My bet:
Lens @ 2.15 (bet365)
 

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