Forest Green vs. Exeter

5 Jul 2021
04.01. 20:45 CET
In the twenty-fourth round of the fourth English top-flight competition, Forest Green, currently leading the table, will play the eighth-placed Exeter.

Forest Green have a record of four wins and one draw from their last five games. On the first of January they won 2-0 at home to 22nd placed Stevenage. They had a clear advantage in the match, putting 26 shots on target compared to seven shots by their opponents. In the game before that they only drew 5-5 with last placed Oldham after a goal spectacle. In addition, they have scored at least two goals eight times in their last nine matches. The current form of the team is very good. The team will probably miss striker Mathew Stevens (20 games played, 13 goals and 3 assists) who is being treated for a cavid. The coach has not ruled out 100% that he will not be involved in the game, but it is very likely. Midfielder Ebou Adams (17 games and two goals scored) is participating in the Africa Cup of Nations.

Exeter are currently on a run of three league losses in a row. Of the last five games, they have four losses and one draw. It should be added that they have played against stronger opponents who are second, third and fourth in the table. So their form, in my opinion, is not as bad as it may seem at first glance. Exeter have an absolutely crazy squad, in this game they will be missing defender Alex Hartridge (19 games played), defender Pierce Sweeney (21 games played), defender George Ray (19 games played), striker Sam Nombe (17 games played, 7 goals) and midfielder Nigel Atangana (13 games played). Team captain Matt Jay, who has scored 10 goals, is being treated for covid. He played only 13 minutes in the last match and his start in the starting line-up is not certain.

In this match I believe in a win for Forest Green, who deservedly lead the league table. Even if striker Mathew Stevens is missing, Jamille Matt, who has scored at least one goal in his last six games, can take care of the goals. At the same time, Forest Green are averaging 3.1 goals and Exeter 2.7 goals in their matches. Over 1.5 goals comes out in 87 percent of these teams' matches. I'm going to counter with a bet on Forest Green to win and score at least 1.5 goals in the match at a nice odds. Against a weakened Exeter defense, we could see a large number of goals in this match.

My bet:
Forest Green to win and Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.88

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