Florida Panthers - Montreal Canadiens

6 Jul 2021
01.01.22 - 19:00 CET


After a short break caused by the postponement of the games, the home Panthers are showing very good results. Home wins over strong teams like NY Rangers 4:3 and Tampa Bay 9:3 just count. Montreal, on the other hand, is two games away from winning. After taking away a valuable one point from Tampa when they got the equalizing goal with seconds left in the third period, they couldn't keep up with Carolina last night and even came up empty

The home team will go into the game with a 20-7-4 score (16-3-0 at home), while the visitors have a 7-22-4 score (2-12-3 away).

Florida will have to do without five players and only one of them is questionable to start. Acciari is out with an upper-body injury. Bennett is the player who is currently with a question mark. Neither Juolevi nor Tippett will hit the field due to Covid-19 protocol. With a lower-body injury, Markus Nutivaara is on the injured list.

Montreal is "ad" a lineup in ruins. We'll take it in alphabetical order - Allen (Covid-19), Anderson (upper body injury), Armia (return as yet undetermined), Belpedio (Covid-19), Byron (Covid-19), Chiarot (Covid-19), Dauphin (Covid-19), Drouin (question mark to start), Dvorak (lower body injury), Edmundson (Covid-19), Gallagher (question mark for this game), Hoffman, Lehkonen, Petry, Primeau and Wideman (Covid-19). Perreault, Price and Toffoli will also not start.

* Panthers are 4-1 in their last five games against teams from the Eastern Conference.
* Canadiens are 0-7 in their last seven games against teams with a winning score.
* Canadiens are 0-5 in their last five games against teams from the Atlantic Division.
* Canadiens are 0-4 in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of more than 60%.

Florida vs Montreal (standings)
* goals scored per game: 3.742 (2nd) vs 2.121 (31st)* goals allowed per game 2.935 (18th) vs 3.576 (29th)
* shots on goal per game: 36.16 (1st) vs 29.36 (25th)
* success shooting percentage: 10.35% (8th) vs 7.22% (32nd)
* shot success rate of all goalies: 90.60% (17th) vs. 89.40% (27th)
* power play usage: 17.00% (24th) vs 11.34% (32nd)
* power play defended: 80.21% (17th) vs 71.15% (29th)

The home team is the clear favourite. They're in form. They try to shoot, which is the basis for success and if they have quality hockey players, which they do, the result must come. Montreal surprised in Tampa, but I think Florida is strong enough at home that they won't allow surprises. I will add a handicap to increase the odds because I believe Florida can win by a bigger margin.

My bet:
Asian Handicap: Florida Panthers -2.5 @ 2.01

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