ESL Pro League: Liquid - Team One

Lucas

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04.09. 2021 - 13:30 CET

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Group C was amazing and competitive. Group D of ESL Pro League 14 is... okay, little bit boring. Gambit, Liquid and NIP are all almost through after 3 rounds, of course there are scenarios possible for Entropiq and FURIA but I wouldn't believe it.

This situation brings me to this match, where in good form playing Liquid face last placed Team One. My idea is that Liquid doesn't like maps that will be possibly picked by Team One, while the odds are strongly on the side od Americans (1,08 to win). So let's hunt some value elsewhere.

Team One's pick will be played first, from what I believe, it will be Mirage or Nuke. I've got pretty same view on both maps for T1 and as I don't want to wait for map picks and then placing bets in-play with potentially dropped odds, I've placed my bet already no matter what map will be first.

I went for map total rounds over 25,5:
When Mirage, Team One had over 6 times from 8 Mirages played in the last 3 months, Liquid is on 1-1 record in terms of over.
When Nuke, Team One had over 12 times from 14 Nukes played in the last 3 months, Liquid is on 1-1 record in terms of over.

Team One has good stats for T's on both maps and that's what I believe will be important as the first half should be pretty even so the second half will be on a good way for over.

Also, Team One is potentially fighting for better prize pool if they manage to get a good score here and tomorrow important match against Entropiq (who I think will get smashed by team Gambit today). On the other side, Liquid could think this match will be an easy ticket to play-offs. I really expect them to have a hard time on map 1. Still huge favorites in the match, of course.

1st map over 25,5 rounds @ 1,72
 

Lucas

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16-8 = 24 rounds = KO

I would like to say "unlucky" but Team One had no chance in this one, though it was Mirage, their favorite map...
 

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