Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets

6 Jul 2021
04.01.22 - 02:40 CET


In this game, I think it's an interesting bet on less than 214.5 points, because:

1. Dallas, even with Doncic in the lineup, scored just 95 points in their last game against Oklahoma City. Overall, Dallas is averaging just 109.8 points in its last 5 games.

2. Denver is averaging just 103.4 points per game over their last 5 games, so combined these teams are averaging 213.2 points per game, which suits our bet.

3. Both Dallas and Denver play at a slow pace - Dallas even has the 2nd slowest pace of play in the entire league, Denver has the 6th slowest pace, which makes us more likely to score low points.

4. Both teams are also conceding relatively few points - Dallas is conceding just 102.8 points per game in their last 5 games and Denver is conceding just 104 points per game, a combined 206.8.

Given the slow pace of both teams, as well as a pretty good defense and of course several absences on both sides, I think the current odds of less than 214.5 points are worth enough.

My bet:
Number of points including overtime: Under 214.5 @ 1.86

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