Boston Celtics - Golden State Warriors

6 Jul 2021
18.12. - 01:40 CET


In this match, I think it's an interesting bet at less than 216.5 points, because:

1. Golden State has a very good defense this season. Their average of conceding is only 100.2 points per game, which is the best defensive rating in the league. In their last 5 games, their average is only 97.4 points per game.

2. Golden State and their average of scoring points is only 106 points per game in their last 5 games. Despite that, they have won 4 of those 5 games. They could approach the Boston game in a similar way.

3. Boston and their average of scoring points is 108.3 points per game. Combined, these teams have a season-high 220.1 points per game, but given Golden State's good defense, a lower number of points is to be expected.

4. Golden State currently has 4 games in a row in which less than 203 points have been scored, and even in this game it might not be 15 points more than Warriors' maximum from the last 4 meetings.

Given the above, I think the current odds at less than 216.5 points are of good enough value.

My bet:
Number of points including overtime - Under 216.5 @ 1.91

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