Basel - Hammarby

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19.08.2021 - 19:30 CET

Europa Conference League - Qualification - Final


Basel is a big favourite to advance. They have almost triple the value of the team, they have a lot of experience in European Cups and a great form where they have eight wins in a row with a score of 31:3. They have won their first three games in the league and lead the table (score of 13:2). In the preliminary round of the ECL they advanced with a 5:0 score over Partizani and 6:1 over Ujpest. And then there's the 7-0 win in the home cup although it has to be added that it was against half-amateur Schonenwerd-Niedergosgen.

Hammarby doesn't have that good a result at the moment.
Against Slovenia's Maribor, one goal in the return match decided the advance, where, for the interesting fact, Hammarby have one shot on target. In the second round they even lost the first match in Serbia to FK Cukaricki 3:1 and had to reverse the series in the rematch (Hammarby won home 5:1). They don't even have form in the league. They have two points from their last three games and in the last match they lost 0:2 at home to Elfsborg.

The odds for Basel to win dropped from 1.75 to 1.28 in a few moments on the local bookie.

My bet:
Handicap: Basel -1.5 @ 1.80 (bet365)
 
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Basel 3:1 Hammarby = Bet is OK (y)

Despite the fact that Basel was statistically much better team, they conceded a goal in the 71st minute and the score was 1:1. And when things weren't looking good for our bet, Arthur scored in the 87th minute and there was hope again. And this time luck was with us and in the 90th minute Basel have a penalty which Arthur took and was successful. The first goal was also scored by Arthur, so he scored a hattrick in this game.
 
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For the record the Over 2.5 market touched highs of 3/1 on the exchanges and the Over 3.5 touched highs of 25/1 - Nice late run of goals! (y)
 

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