Aston Villa vs. Chelsea

5 Jul 2021
26.12. - 18:30 CET

Premier League

Home side Aston Villa are in 10th place in the mid-table with 22 points after 17 rounds played. In these games, coach Gerrard's players have score of 23:25, which gives us an average of 2.82 goals per game. The Premier League table is now considerably marked by postponed matches due to the covid, so, for example, Aston Villa has played one match less than its rival - Chelsea. If the home side can manage this game for three points, they will move up the table to 8th place ahead of Wolves.

Visiting Chelsea won the EFL Cup match 2-0 at Brentford last time and are now 3rd in the Premier League with 38 points after 18 games. In these matches, coach Tuchel's charges have score of 39:12, which gives us an average of 2.83 goals per game. Chelsea can't afford too many losses anymore, because the leader Manchester City has already jumped to a difference of six points, and Chelsea is three points behind Liverpool. In what is very positive news for Chelsea, Romelu Lukaku and Callum Hodson-Odoi have tested negative for covid and so could be available to Tuchel as early as Sunday's Boxing Day game if they pass one more negative test.

The matches between these teams bring quite a few goals, if I take the last five matches in Premier League, the over 2.5 goals has not been surpassed only once (a 1-1 draw in December 2020).

In this match I'm picking over 2.5 goals. Chelsea can't afford to falter anymore, especially with a mid-table opponent if they still want to think about the title. The fact that Romelu Lukaku should already be back on the pitch is also very good news for us. Villa can also move up the table and I expect Chelsea to get nothing for free and we will see some quality offensive football as well as at least three goals in the game.

My bet:
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.10 (bet365)

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