Albania - Poland

6 Jul 2021
12.10.21 - 20:45 CET

World Cup Qualification

Three rounds to go in the qualifiers and a lot is at stake in this match. Poland is one point behind second-placed Albania.

If Poland were to lose in Albania, they would lose any realistic chance of finishing second and surprisingly would not even qualify for the promotion. In September, Poland hosted Albanians at home and beat them 4-1. The home advantage is now on the Balkans' side, but it may not be such an advantage. Albania will be under enormous pressure because success is close - they "only" need to beat Poland.

In the group we find Albania in 2nd place after 7 matches with 15 points and a score of 11:6. Poland is in 3rd place with 14 points and a score of 24:8.

Poland definitely have more quality than the home team. Poland is only one point behind and will face weaker opponents before the end of the qualification cycle, while Albania will still face the favoured England. I'm playing the safer option of no draw, because with the minutes running out you can expect the Albanians to lie down and run out the clock.

My bets:
Draw No Bet: Poland @ 1.40 (bet365)
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 (bet365)

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